Euro 2016 Semi Final Preview

After a pathetic 1 correct correction out of 4 in the quarter finals, things can only get better in the semi finals. Gareth Bale's Wales take on Cristiano Ronaldo's Portugal while Germany meet tournament hosts, France in the glamour tie of the round.

Whether they like it or not the pre-match discussions will be dominated by Real Madrid team mates Cristiano Ronaldo and Gareth Bale. So far in the tournament we have seen a different Portuguese side to what we are use to - a more disciplined, defensive side, but also one that can be frustrated by teams deep defending. With Pepe an injury doubt. veteran Brun Alves is likely to step in to add experience to an inexperienced defence. 18 year old Renato Sanches has covered defensive and offensive areas of the park expertly in the time that he has been on the pitch. Now at Bayern, Sanches scored with a stunning strike to equalise against Poland in the previous round. The young protege will be just as vital as Ronaldo if Portugal are to progress.

Wales have thrilled everyone in the tournament this year with their performances. It's particularly refreshing to hear Gareth Bale liken himself to his team mates and and describe the positive atmosphere that shrouds the Welsh camp. In previous match, they were on the ropes in the first 15 minutes with Belgium attacking and the Welsh defence repelling 4 shots within a few moments that were destined for the back of the net. After falling behind thanks to a Radja Nainggolan screamer, Wales regrouped and equalised through Ashley Williams 20 minutes later. Hal Robson-Kanu adopted the persona of Johan Cruyff for the second goal when a smart goal sent several Belgian defenders the wrong way before shooting past Thibaut Courtois. Chris Coleman's side showed all the character that got them to this stage with great defensive commitment before sneaking a third goal on the break thanks to Sam Vokes.

The absence of Ben Davies and Aaron Ramsey in the Welsh side due to suspension will be a massive blow. James Collins and Andy King come are the replacements to make their first starts so there will be a bit of rustiness. Attacking wise, Collins has the potential to be a threat from set pieces. It's very tight to call and it is likely that this match will go the distance, I tip the Welsh to make history.

France were very impressive in the first half against Iceland, racing into a 4 goal lead. This allowed Didier Deschamps to haul some of the key players that were on bookings off to prevent them from being suspended for the semi final. The flowing football on display was gripping, with Dmitri Payet, Olivier Giroud and Antoine Griezmann all linking up for a combined 4 goals and two assists. Moussa Sissoko replacing the suspended N'Golo Kante. Paul Pogba showed glimpses of what he was capable of in the midfield, but it will be unlikely that he will be afforded the time and space against Germany as he was in the previous round. One concerning issue from a French point of view was the soft goals conceded. Kolbeinn Sigthorsson poked one home at the near post while Birkir Bjarnason grabbed a second with a header. Both were unmarked and Deschamps will surely have to work on this before the match tomorrow night.

The injury to Mario Gomez, the only number nine striker taken to the competition has thrown a massive spanner in the works of Joachim Low's plans. A physical presence in the air, Gomez would have troubled the French defence and could have given Germany an upper hand in the game. Mats Hummels is also ruled out due to suspension, yet Germany are likely to come into this game as favourites. Despite such a prolific goal scoring record at the World Cup, Thomas Muller is yet to get off the mark in the Euros, but an advanced role in the absence of Gomez is likely to make him more of a threat. Mesut Ozil has been a shining light so far in the tournament, summed up with a great goal against Italy. Playing in the number ten position, teams have found him difficult to deal with so far and Germany will be looking to utilise the Arsenal playmaker at every possibility.

It's the best attack in the tournament up against the best defence. Germany will be favourites for the game, particularly with France's inconsistencies throughout the tournament so far. Like most games these days, the midfield will be where it is won. Germany have Toni Kroos and Bastian Schweinsteiger who both like to sit deep and control the play, while France's Paul Pogba will be likely to cover more ground over the pitch. With Germany's terrific record at penalty kicks, this will play in the back of the French minds. My heart says France but my head says Germany.

On the Verge of Something Special

Both Wales and Northern Ireland share something in common, they are plucky underdogs who have defied everything to reach Euro 2016. Now, as we reach the conclusion of the group stage, Wales are through to the knockout rounds in first position, while Northern Ireland are on the verge of qualifying as a third place team.

The winners of Group B have given themselves an excellent chance of going further in the tournament, as they face a third place side in the next round from either Group A, Group D or Group C. Albania finished third in Group A, while Northern Ireland are in pole position to qualify in third, providing they do not get hammered by the Germans later today. In Group D, Turkey have their work cut out, needing to beat the Czech Republic by more than 3 goals in order to finish third and have a competitive goal difference to challenge the rest of the sides. However, that would only leave them on 3 points and they would need other results to go in their favour. Likewise, the Czechs need to win to secure their qualification.

Looking beyond the next knockout round, a match against either the runner up of Group F or the winner of Group E. Belgium are likely to be the runner up of Group E providing they don't slip up against Sweden, Hungary are leading the way in Group E. While Group E is still up for grabs, none of the teams have looked convincing and all look very beatable. Wales don't fear anyone and that is the spirit that Chris Coleman and his predecessor, the late Gary Speed instilled in the side.

Looking at Wales, Chris Coleman has got them playing very smart football. Last night they destroyed a Russian side 3-0 with Gareth Bale, Aaron Ramsey and Neil Taylor on the score sheet. Joe Allen delivered a very assured performance in the middle of the park and executed a brilliant through ball to Ramsey for the opener. Bale was a thorn in the Russian side all night and is a very good attacking outlet for Wales to use. During qualifying, Wales were criticised for being a one-man team, in this tournament other players have stepped up and showed that Wales don't have to rely on Gareth Bale.

Northern Ireland don't have a speedy Real Madrid Galactico to look towards so some would argue that their feat would be even more spectacular. Sitting as the top third placed team before the final round of group matches kicked off, lists of permutations were drafted up of what had to happen for Northern Ireland to qualify. Four years ago I would have laughed at you if you had said Northern Ireland would qualify for Euro 2016 never mind be on the verge of making it to the knockout round.

Standing in front of the big screen at the Titanic Quarter in Belfast, soaking up the atmosphere before Northern Ireland kicked off against Ukraine on Thursday, I remember thinking to myself, 'Imagine if Northern Ireland scored?' Not only did they score 1, they won the match by two goals. Northern Ireland started that match with intent. The players weren't happy with the performance against Poland which culminated in a 1-0 loss and Michael O'Neill made 5 changes, notably, qualifying hero Kyle Lafferty being replaced by QPR's Conor Washington. Washington set the tempo early on, with high pressing, aided by Steven Davis and Stuart Dallas. 

Oliver Norwood, whose set piece deliveries are normally very accurate, but hasn't hit the levels Northern Irish fans have grown accustom to, delivered a perfect ball for Gareth McAuley to head home after the interval. A threat in the opposition's box, McAuley was also imperious when defending, constantly throwing his body in the way of any Ukrainian shot along with Jonny Evans. Niall McGinn followed up a shot from Steven Davis to score the second goal and send the Northern Irish contingent delirious and that goal might be crucial in determining whether they will progress.

Northern Ireland are currently on track to reach the first knockout round of their very first European Championship, but have the small task of current World Champions, Germany in their way. Any kind of result would virtually guarantee a place in the next round. With a +1 goal difference, a 3-0 defeat to Germany would still see them through providing the Czech Republic and Turkey draw tonight. Also, if Turkey beat the Czech Republic but fail to overturn a goal difference of -4, then Northern Ireland will qualify.

Michael O'Neill won't be concerning himself with the list of permutations about finishing third, instead a plan on how to add Germany to the long list of upsets that the nation of 1.7m people has caused. All the talk has been about what Northern Ireland have to do to qualify third, with no mention of what has to happen for them to finish top. If Northern Ireland defeat Germany and Ukraine defeat Poland, the Green and White Army top the group, and match their Celtic counterparts, Wales.

Northern Ireland is at fever pitch with First Minister Arlene Foster asking for employers to let their staff out early in order to watch the match. Across the Irish Sea, Wales will be waking up to plenty of sore heads after a hard night partying, but Chris Coleman will know that there is more history to be written. Both sides are on the verge of something special. 

Home Nations at Euro 2016

For the first time in European Championship history, three of the four teams defined as the Home Nations have made it to the Euros, with the addition of the Republic of Ireland. With many from the British Isles set to be glued to their TV over the next few weeks, how will we all get on?

Northern Ireland

Qualified as group winners, this will be Northern Ireland's first ever appearance at the Euros and first at a major competition since 1986. Their unbeaten result against Slovakia in the last warm up game sees Michael O'Neill's men come into the tournament on form, having not lost a match in 12, with no other side matching this feat. Placed in a group with Poland, Germany and Ukraine, the current holders of the now defunct British Home Championship, could have had an easier group but the quality will not phase the Ulstermen having beaten Russia and Greece as well as matching Portugal over the last few years, write off Northern Ireland at your peril.

Key Player

While Kyle Lafferty provided the main source of goals for Northern Ireland in qualifying, their talisman is without a doubt Southampton's Steven Davis. A Northern Irish stalwart over the years it was fitting that he was to score two of the goals to send his team to the competition. The captain featured in all qualifying games bar the 2-0 defeat to Romania in Bucharest. All of Northern Ireland's attacking threat comes through the County Antrim man and Davis will have to replicate the same form he has showed over the past year if Northern Ireland have any ambitions of getting out of the group.

Predicted Finish

With only 8 teams going out at the group stage, four points could be enough to send Northern Ireland through to the knock-out games. They will fancy themselves against Ukraine and will aim to soak up pressure from the Germans and Polish attacks before hitting them on the break. I fancy Northern Ireland to get out of the group. If they finish second, it gives them a tie against Romania, a perfect opportunity to carry out some revenge however this is unlikely. I predict Northern Ireland to scrape through in third spot and, depending on the draw, to exit at the first knock-out round.

England

The only side in the tournament to qualify with 10 wins, England have been placed in a group with Wales as well as Russia and Slovakia. England will be expected to top the group and in doing so, would open up many possibilities with having to face a third place side in the first knock-out round. As always with the English side there has been debates about the personnel chosen to represent England with Premier League winner, Danny Drinkwater being omitted from the 23-man squad in favour of Jack Wilshere. England massively underperformed at the last World Cup so will be hoping to make amends in Euro 2016.

Key Player

Unlike with the other nations, it was difficult to single out a key player in the English ranks. Record goal scorer, Wayne Rooney, topped the scoring charts in qualifying with 7, and has competition from Harry Kane and Jamie Vardy who netted 25 and 24 Premier League goals this season respectively. As captain it is unlikely that Rooney will be benched so it will be critical where he is played. Rumours have been circulating that Roy Hodgson will opt for a 4-4-2 diamond, incorporating Kane and Vardy up front with Rooney in behind, while dropping Rooney into midfield has also been discussed. Rooney has been criticised in the past for poor performances at major competitions so he will be aiming to prove the doubters wrong.

Predicted Finish
Expectations in the build-up to the tournament have been surprisingly low from English fans and can probably be attributed to the failings in 2014. England are likely to do better than Wales, Northern Ireland or Republic of Ireland, but a lot will hinge on the the decisions made by Roy Hodgson. For Hodgson, he will have to make bold decisions and will likely come under fierce criticism from the English media if they are unsuccessful. I do expect England to top their group and they will be confident of defeating their opponents in the first knockout round providing there are no shocks. While England are a good side, they are not suitable contenders yet and an exit at the quarter finals looks likely.

Wales

Having successfully qualified for their first major tournament since the 1958 World Cup, Wales will be relishing the prospect of taking on their old foes in the shape of England. They had an excellent qualifying campaign in a tricky group which included a very good win over Belgium at home and a draw away. Their only blemish was a 2-0 defeat at Bosnia and Herzegovina in the penultimate game. Despite being the first manager since Jimmy Murphy to guide his country to a major tournament, Coleman holds the unwanted record of being the first Welsh manager to lose in his first five games. Like Northern Ireland, the Welsh faithful will be happy to be at competition however the players will harbour ambitions of leaving their mark on the tournament.

Key Player

Real Madrid Galactico Gareth Bale fired his country to the Euros with 7 goals in qualifying and undoubtedly holds the key to their success in the competition. With 19 international goals at the age of 26, it looks almost certain that Bale will surpass the Welsh record currently held by Ian Rush (28). Not only does Bale have excellent dribbling and lightning pace, he is also renowned as one of the best players in the world and this will also attract the attention of opposition managers, who will attempt to mark him out of the game therefore leaving space for some of his team mates. If Bale is on form, then Wales have every chance of getting out of the group.

Predicted Finish

Coleman does have some cause for concern after a heavy 3-0 defeat at the hands of Sweden in their last warm up match. While they will want to win all of their matches, the English tie will be the one that will attract the most attention. They kick off their campaign against Slovakia on Saturday, before the crunch match against England on June 16th and the final game against Russia on June 20th. If Wales can clinch that second spot, they will face a knock-out round tie against the runners up of Group F, consisting of Portugal, Iceland, Austria and Hungary, all who are very beatable. I predict an exit in the first knock-out round for Wales.

Republic of Ireland

The Republic of Ireland had the toughest qualifying group out of all of the mentioned teams, but one they were able to navigate. The biggest highlight was undoubtedly the 1-0 win over Germany with Shane Long grabbing the only goal. Martin O'Neill and his men finished in the play off spot just ahead of Scotland and were able to defeat Bosnia and Herzegovina 3-1 on aggregate in the play off. They qualified for Euro 2012, but finished bottom of their group with 0 points and only one goal scored so an improvement this year will definitely be on the cards.

Key Player

Veteran Robbie Keane continues to thrill the Irish faithful at the ripe age of 35. Ireland's top scorer with 5 goals in qualifying, Keane leads the side from the front and continues to display all the characteristics which cemented him as an Irish legend. However it was his partner in crime who netted the pivotal goal to defeat Germany in qualifying. Currently at Southampton, Shane Long is coming to the Euros off the back of a decent season on the south coast of England, scoring 13 goals in 32 appearances in all competitions. Possessing good pace, his threat will be apparent on the counter attack and will test the defences of Belgium, Italy and Sweden.

Predicted Finish

A defence that is error prone could hinder the Irish side, however they possess a great work ethic in midfield and up front. The first match against Sweden is vital and a win next Monday will give the side a great confidence boost. Looking at their opposition, a lot has been expected of Belgium yet they have not hit top form over the past few matches, while Italy are currently in transition with coach Antonio Conte admitting that he is worried about preparations for the tournament. A win against Sweden and I tip the Republic of Ireland to qualify, anything else and they'll have their work cut out.

The Post Mortem at the Santiago Bernabeu

As you are probably be aware, there will be no match report for Real Madrid's loss in the Champions League to Juventus largely due to my upset body clock. Instead, I will share my thoughts on what lies in wait for El Galacticos of Spanish football.

To start with, Juventus played a very smart game, even though they lacked confidence in the first half to go and attack (or so I believe!). I did get to witness the second half. It started with constant Madrid pressure and it looked only certain that they were going to add to their total. I thought Pirlo was particularly disappointing on the ball and was at fault for conceding possession often. He will definitely be punished by an inform Barca side if it continues into the final. Former Madrid academy player Alvaro Morata equalized much to the disdain of the Madristas. The goal seemed act as a pill to sap all of the energy and confidence from Real Madrid. Defenders Chiellini and Bonucci were immense and repelled any ball into the box from the Madrid wide-men. The result would have been a shock, but it was no less than what the Old Lady deserved.

Currently in the Spanish capital, a post-mortem will be under way. Pitch forks will be sharpened by Florentino Perez and the Madrid fans for Ancelotti and the players. I think Gareth Bale could be on his way out of the club in the summer with potential suitors coming from England and other fields. I think only Manchester United and Bayern Munich would be able to cough up for Bale due to financial fair play affecting Manchester City. Looking at Carlo Ancelotti, I will be amazed if he still has a job at the start of next season. As I stated in previous articles, not many managers get away with 1 trophyless season in the Spanish capital, so if he was to be given an extra term in the post, he will need to deliver the world to Perez. As it stands, rumours are gathering momentum that the Italian has signed a pre contract deal to take him to Manchester City in the summer.

I remember at the start of the 2015 when I wrote a piece about the dressing room in their greatest rivals, Barcelona, and how that it was fractured with too many egos and not enough control from manager Luis Enrique. In hindsight, I looked pretty stupid considering Barca are now challenging for the coveted treble. Ancelotti is facing a similar situation. Agent, Jonathan Barnett commented that Bale's team mates do not pass to him and that is why he is suffering. This was a very ill-advised statement made before a crucial, season defining match against the Italian giants and I am really not surprised that this has caused disharmonious feelings among the camp. Ancelotti hit back stating that Mr Barnett had not been at any training sessions so he does not having right to say anything. I don't think Ancelotti had any option but to refute the claims. The only thing I have to say about this is that there must be some unrest if the agent were to bring up accusations such as these.

It has been reported in the Spanish publication Marca that boss Carlo Ancelotti has been wanting to drop Bale for the past 2 months but has been unable to due to pressure from Perez. Marca are known to have links inside the 10 times Champions of Europe so if - and it's a big if - these rumours are true, it says a hell of a lot about the politics inside the great football club. How undermining would that be for the world's most expensive player? I also hasten to add that it is also rumoured by the same publication that he hasn't learnt the language, something which will reflect badly on him if it is true. I haven't even began to touch on the incidents preceeding El Clasico over a month ago. I don't think he is liked in the camp. It is evident that the supporters aren't big fans. I'll always remember when Bale was outside the box on the right facing a Juve player. He tried to knock the ball past the defender but a heavy touch saw the ball roll out for a goal kick and ignite a ripple of a sarcastic applause from individuals behind the goal.

I thought that the former AC Milan manager could survive a season with winning nothing as I said in my article on possible destinations for Jurgen Klopp, but now I'm not too sure. I don't see Klopp breaking his 'sabbatical' to leap into that calderon of uncertainty. Anyhow, there needs to be an evaluation of some of the players. On Wednesday, Kroos and Isco offered nothing defensively, something which a Illaramendi or a Khedira would. The league campaign does not challenge these deficiencies, with exception to matches against Atletico and Barcelona. Xabi Alonso has also been a big loss, as Toni Kroos hasn't pushed on as performances at Bayern Munich dictated.

As an attacking force, Real Madrid are right up there. The BBC attack of Bale, Benzema and Cristiano will frighten any defence in the world. This year they have scored total of 70 goals this season, while contributing to 33 goals. Even though Ronaldo has a large majority in this facet, It is quite an incredible tally for the side, more goals than any English side with exception to Manchester City. On the other hand, they can be defensively naive at times. Examples include the 4-0 hammering they took at the hands of their City rivals as well as the defeat at the Nou Camp. This is something that needs to be addressed on the training pitch or else in the summer transfer window.

There will be changes at the Bernanbeu in the summer. Jobs will be lost, but it makes interesting reading as to who will replace Ancelotti. Also, who would even want a job where the fans can turn on you in an instant? I get the impression that the job helps fund a decent retirement package for when managers conclude their career.

Ballon D'or

It's this time of year again. The time of year when the most prized personal accolade any footballer could have is handed out. The Ballon D'Or. With the shortlist trimmed to just 23 proficient professionals, I will take a look at the top contenders for this prestigious prize.

Lionel Messi.

It seems only fitting to start with the holder and four time winner, Lionel Messi. The Argentinian wizard has scored 45 goals in 46 appearances -a long way from breaking the record he set last year, but most strikers these days would be delighted with 45 goals in a calendar year. The impact that the Argentine has on Barcelona is evident as with his injury Barca have only collected 3 points in their last 3 games. Poor by the high standards set by the Blaugrana . Messi is looking to win the award for the 5th time on the bounce, a feat that will probably never happen again, if it occurs.

Gareth Bale.

Having just completed a record-breaking move to Real Madrid in the summer, Gareth Bale is certainly in contention for the award. Although not on the same level for goal scoring as Ronaldo or Messi are, I can see the Welshman being a dark horse as he carried a Spurs' side to fifth, a point behind arch rivals Arsenal. Now at Madrid, Bale has made a rampant start to his career in the Spanish capital by netting 9 goals in 13 appearances along with assisting 6 times. A good way to silence the doubters, and an even more of a statement if he does well in the Ballon D'Or.

Cristiano Ronaldo.

Quite possibly the favourite for the award and my own personal winner, Cristiano Ronaldo scored 67 goals this year with an average of 1.18 goals per match, but was unable to prevent El Clasico rivals Barcelona from retaining the title. With having finished second to Lionel Messi for the past four years, Ronaldo will be hoping to turn the tables and come out on top this time around. The 2008 winner, has enjoyed a sparkling season and has drawn hints from fans that this year has been his best to date.

Franck Ribery.

Franck Ribery stands a great chance in claiming the Ballon D'Or after several scintillating performances earned him Best Player in Europe for 2013 by UEFA. Already with 9 goals and 7 assists in 17 games this season, Ribery himself is confident in grabbing the trophy from the paws of Messi and Ronaldo as Munich find themselves top of the Bundesliga table by four points and seem to be heading for their second consecutive title. The Frenchman has enjoyed a mass of success in this calendar year by picking up 3 trophies and having a chance to claim and 4th at the Club World Cup. Definitely a contender for the top prize.

Xavi/Iniesta.

Two names have remained the same over the past few years and that's Xavi Hernandez and Andres Iniesta. Like Jack and Jill, where one name is mentioned, the other will follow behind. Both Spaniards have been vital ingredients to Barcelona's all-conquering team and guided the Blaugrana to further domestic success last season. Xavi, now 33, is still capable of threading a delightful ball through the eye of a needle for Messi or Sanchez to latch onto and bury it. Iniesta is one of the players that seems to of been around for ages yet is surprisingly 29 years of age. Arguably at the peak of his playing career, Iniesta's trickery and agility means he can ghost past players effortlessly.

The rest of the candidates are Falcao, Eden Hazard, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Philipp Lahm, Robert Lewandowski, Thomas Muller, Manuel Neuer, Neymar, Mesut Ozil, Andrea Pirlo, Arjen Robben, Bastian Schweinsteiger, Luis Suarez, Thiago Silva, Yaya Toure, Robin Van Persie, Edinson Cavani.

Sepp Blatter has even commented that this year will be tighter than ever, with at least 3 players all standing a real chance in claiming the award. The winner will be announced at the FIFA Ballon D'Or gala as part of a televised show at the Zurich Kongresshaus on the 13 January.