Thursday 26 March 2015

Euro Qualifying Round 5 Preview

You either love or hate the international break. It's like Marmite and I love it. No, not the spread, the football. We're back for Round 5 of the Euro 2016 Qualifying campaign and the home nations will be looking to be one step closer to the tournament come Monday.

England kick us off on Friday night with a tie against Lithuania. It should be a relatively straightforward tie in a relatively simple group for Roy Hodgson's men. With England at the top of the pile with four wins out of four, another three would be a step closer to booking their flights on the plane across the channel to France next summer. All the lights will be on Harry Kane who is set to win his first cap for his country. I don't think there could have been a more suited tie for his debut as the Three Lions are expected to coast past a side sitting fourth in the group. A call up for Kane has been well deserved considering his goal scoring form this year. Another Spurs player, Ryan Mason has also been included for the first time who has replaced the injured Adam Lallana. It will be a massive shock if England do not win at home, meaning that Hodgson can use the youth that he has at his disposal.

Wales face a difficult trip to Jerusalem to face Israel in a tricky group B game. Currently sitting behind Israel in the table, it will be a titanic battle to see who will come out on top. Neither side has met each other in a competitive fixture since since Wales beat them 4-0 to progress to the 1958 World Cup Finals in Sweden - their only appearance in the competition to date. Israeli International football is going through a rough time as of late, with many fans getting apprehensive over their sides recent failures to qualify for a major competition. Without someone of the calibre of Gareth Bale, I doubt whether Wales would be able to go their and get any sort of a result. However, with the recent tension between Madristas and Bale, he will probably see this as a welcome break to get away from all the pressures he faces in his everyday life as a Real Madrid footballer. I don't think Wales will be able to come away with all three points, but I do think that Bale can rescue a vital draw for the Dragons, and give them confidence going into the remaining qualifying matches.

Some may say that Scotland face a 'week off' when they take on Gibraltar at home on Saturday, but we all know that they can turn the easiest of games into a battle in recent years. However, Gordon Strachan and Scotland seem to be on an upward turn this campaign, with a respectable performance against Germany and a wins against the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland. Gibraltar will not offer any competition to Scotland and I would expect them to put at least 3 goals past them. This would give Strachan the opportunity to try other combinations to ensure that is side has strength in depth for the rest of the qualifying campaign. Level on points with Germany and the Republic of Ireland, they will be looking to distance themselves from their Irish neighbours. They don't have as good a goal difference as Ireland, and with them facing leaders Poland, they will be hoping to score goals, particularly if this group is decided on goal difference. A couple of early goals, could see Gibraltar fold, and a barrage of goals could follow. Scotland to win comfortably.

As mentioned previously, the other team in Group D, Republic of Ireland face a crunch match against Poland in the Aviva Stadium. Having beaten the World Champions already in the group phase, Poland will go into this match with confidence and will hope to pile the pressure onto Germany. It will be a tough ask on Sunday, particularly with the injuries to several key men. Darren Gibson has returned to Merseyside after suffering a groin injury. Concerns have been raised over the fitness of Burnley fullback, Stephen Ward, who is doubtful also with an ankle injury. After limping off a training session earlier this week, James McClean was confirmed that he will be '100% ready to play' come kick off on Sunday. With Scotland facing an easy task and Germany travelling to Georgia, there is no room for error for Martin O'Neill's men. A 'play for a draw' mentality could back fire and leave them on the back foot, playing catch up for the rest of campaign, if they harbour any ambitions to qualify for the finals. It's a must win game, and also a tricky affair. The crowd could play a massive part in an Irish victory and I am predicting a smash and grab job for O'Neill's men. 1-0 to the Republic of Ireland.

Last but not least, Northern Ireland hope to continue their impressive start to the qualifying campaign with a game against Finland on Sunday. A win would see them move onto 12 points level with Romania, who are likely to beat the Faroe Islands at the weekend. Lee Hodson has been called up to replace the injured Paul Paton who was set to make his debut appearance. Also on the injury front, Sammy Clingan and Shane Ferguson were ruled out and both will be blows to Michael O'Neill. Top scorer, Kyle Lafferty is set to play, while Jonny Evans is set to make his return to competitive international football after a 16 month lay off. Looking at Finland, they sit in fourth position, five points behind their opposition. Expect the crowd to get behind the Green and White Army, and I wouldn't be surprised if Finland were to become the latest victim of Michael O'Neill's Ulstermen. I think Northern Ireland can sneak it, 1-0.

It's the new year in the qualifying calendar, and every one of the Home Nation sides will be hoping to carry their form from 2014 into 2015. Round 5 marks the half way point, and teams will be on the home straight in order to confirm their place on the plane to France next summer. An intriguing weekend of international football awaits. 

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